Which means President Obama would be dealing with a Republican House and Senate. So says the man who correctly predicted the 2008 & 2012 election.
The New York Times polling analyst Nate Silver believes that Republicans may have a shot at retaking the Senate.
“A race-by-race analysis of the Senate, in fact, suggests that Republicans might now be close to even-money to win control of the chamber after next year’s elections,” Silver writes on his “Five Thirty Eight” blog. “Our best guess, after assigning probabilities of the likelihood of a G.O.P. pickup in each state, is that Republicans will end up with somewhere between 50 and 51 Senate seats after 2014, putting them right on the threshold of a majority.”
Silver pointed out that since former Gov. Brian Schweitzer, D-Mont., decided against running for Senate, it is more likely that Republicans would win in that state.
Other likely Republican pickups cited by Silver include West Virginia, with the retirement of Sen. Jay Rockefeller, and South Dakota, with the retirement of Sen. Tim Johnson.
Great take on the recent election between Mitt Romney & President Obama from the always terrific Frank J. Fleming at PJ Media. Frank writes about the biggest lesson the GOP should learn from election 2012.
Magnificent post from the great Chris Horner at the American Spectator.
There’s so much that could still be said in the
aftermath of the Delaware primary, but as previously indicated I
believe the primary should be treated as what it is,
which is over. In that spirit we’ll let even the
aftermath lie. So long as it seems willing to lay there.
But what does cry out for discourse is the by-now-routine,
very tired rhetoric by the tantrum-throwers and wishful
thinkers that “the Republican party has no room for moderates”,
trotted out again as it is every time Republicans decide that while
there’s room for moderates, well, given a choice they sometimes
have a preference for non-liberals. Foul!, the entitled
In each such instance we are treated by the self- and
media-styled moderates to this unbecoming sniveling. Specter
was pushed out. Castle…pushed out. Poor Bob Bennet. No room.
Even Scott Brown — the widespread support enabling his
election being itself proof that conservatives not only
tolerate but will fight for moderates — has stumbled into this
intellectual bog. Folks, do your selves a favor and show some
moderation in all of this entitlement and self-pity.
Republicans, as their principles indicate, have a preference for
non-liberals. Yes, as one writer for another publication oddly
invoked as evidence that Mike Castle ought to be granted the
nomination, Castle hadn’t ever faced challenge before (and, when he
did, his response was not pretty and arguably evidence enough that
he should be retired).
So he, too, was proof that conservatives and other mainstream
Republicans had room for such a ”moderate”, again and again.
Then in a year when people think they can affect change, and plot a
less dangerous course, a choice emerged and it was chosen.
Foul!, the entitled cry. Proof that you are
intolerant!, the intolerant whimper.